Hello skiers,

Sunday night a weather system will spread rain or snow from the south. Its a messy forecasting situation as the snow level ranges from 6,500 (south Cascades) to 3,500 (north Cascades). By early Monday morning, there will be 1-4 of snow.

The snow level will come down later Monday into Monday evening, with more snowfall, while the threat of Cascade rainfall diminishes. Snowfall from noon Monday to Tuesday morning may be 6-12 or more.

I think Monday will be good in some areas -- higher elevations and north, but I dont like going through snow level transitions in the middle of the ski day, so there is uncertainty about how the snow level changes during the day. But at least the trend is for lower snow levels with better quality snow by afternoon and evening. But if the timing of the snow level transition is off, it could be sticky snow on the lower slopes early in the day.

I do favor Tuesday with higher forecast confidence as there will be fresh overnight snowfall and low snow levels (1,000ft), plus clearing on Tuesday. High pressure builds in Tuesday through Thursday with sunshine, great groomers, improved overall snow coverage, and a good refresh off the groomers. The cool temperatures will keep the snow in good shape much of the week.

Friday will see a weak system move in with light snow. There will be lingering light snow showers for next weekend, but no significant snowfall.

Have a good Holiday.


Your Grand Poobah of Powder
Larry Schick - meteorologist